YouGov daily poll - Sun Apr 18
LIB DEMS 33% (29%) + 4%
CONSERVATIVES 32% (33%) -1%
LABOUR 26% (30%) -4%
The interesting thing is what happens now to Labour. Lots of people I know vote Labour only because it is the main way to stop the Tories where they live. With Labour now in freefall and looking defeated, what happens in the next week to the Labour vote could define politics for the next 20 years. Labour could (I stress could) fall away to 22/23% and the Lib Dems climb even higher or the Lib Dem vote could tail back to the high 20s (which would still be an amazing acheivement).
The interesting thing is the level of incredulity from Tory and Labour people on http://www.politicalbetting.com/ questioning the polling figures. I have never known the level of support we have been getting when campaigning anywhere outside of North Norfolk. In North Norfolk we used to work bloody hard for our vote (five or sic leaflets a year, even when there were no elections) and when elections came, canvassing was a joy. But today, just delivering in one of the Tories safest wards in Broadland, the response from people in their gardens, washing cars, etc, was just astonishing.
It might be a blip, but it's a pleasant one and something that Lib Dems have waited a long time for.
As I read on twitter earlier, Osborne (presumably George) told Rory Bremner his impression of Cameron needed more work. Apparently Rory Bremner said he was working on Clegg now, not Cameron !
Don't know if it's true, but its amusing.