The media are reporting that Gordon Brown is likely to wait until Wednesday next week before making any possible announcement about an Autumn election. One of the reasons cited by the press for next Wednesday is that this will be after David Cameron's speech to the Tory Party conference. What is the logic in this for Gordon Brown.
If this were 2003 and it was Iain Duncan Smith speaking to a divided Tory party, then I could accept the logic of the papers. However, even with all the summer troubles that David Cameron has had, there is no way that the Conservative Party conference will be anything other than a pro Cameron, closely controlled, well "spun" election rally.
To allow Cameron to have his 15 minutes plus of unadulterated analysis, comment and focus on his leadership speech is worth 2 % in the opinion polls. So there is absolutely no way that waiting serves any purpose at all, unless you are a Conservative.
In my opinion the best time to call the election would be on Monday morning. Whilst thousands of Tories are in hotels that they will have to pay for, many will be hundreds of miles from their constituencies, and suddenly the Representation of the People's Act will cut in meaning that equal coverage will go to all the parties.
So if anyone can enlighten me on why going after Cameron's speech is to Gordon brown's advantage, please let me know.