It looks increasingly like the election for London Mayor may come down to who ever can get their voters out on the day as a new poll indicates that Boris Johnson has overtaken Ken Livingstone again.
Taking in to account second preferences, Johnson is on 51% and Ken is on 49%.
Obviously there is a small margin of error to take in to account, but you would have to imagine that the Tories have an advantage over Labour in having motivated activists and motivated voters who will come and and vote in greater numbers than Labour. There is already a lot of chatter on the internet about Labour finding it difficult to find candidates nationwide, and you'd have to expect this apathy to apply in London too.
So my money is on the Tories to win, although I cannot believe for one moment that Boris Johnson would make a good mayor.